Electoral Science: 2016 Presidential Election Winner will be a Republican

Posted on April 9, 2016 by Carl Herman

By guest author, “No Passport” American Daniel Bruno, reporting from Buenos Aires. Daniel is from NYC, is an author, inventor, specialist in 9/11 studies, and the interview host at www.hpub.org.

I was the first person in the world to proclaim that Barack Obama would be U.S. president from January, 2009 until January, 2017.

No, I’m not an Illuminati or Bilderburger. I’m not on the Trilateral Commission or Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), and I don’t get invited to Davos. But in 2007 I told about forty CFR members that Obama would have to be president before they had decided on the matter. At the Democratic Party Convention in Denver, I gave Joe Biden my 2007 book, Why Obama will win in 2008 & 2012, and explained the basics. He later made indirect references to it in some of his talks.

When Obama confirmed he would run in the spring of 2007, I was intrigued and joined his New York strategy committee. Our task was to beat New York Senator Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Most people, especially establishment Blacks, dismissed us as fools. Even Al Sharpton was a skeptic. Shelby Steele, a mulatto at the Hoover Institution, wrote a nonsensical but successful book entitled, Why Obama Can’t Win.

It took a lot of work and a number of personal visits by Obama to win hearts and minds in New York City. Obama’s campaign had a scientific approach, replete with charts and electoral history data sheets shared on google docs.

Like all of his volunteers, I was deceived by Obama’s rhetoric, and thought we could achieve a soft coup of sorts, if only he were in power. So I started a serious inquiry to determine whether we really could reverse the nightmare bequeathed to us by G.W. Bush.

The outcome of this inquiry was my book.

Inspired as a retort to Steele and published long before Obama/Biden had even been nominated by the Party, it boldly announced that Obama would beat McCain in 2008, as well as the Republican contender five years in the future in 2012.

To reach this conclusion, I built on the work of Allen Lichtman of American University and Ray C. Fair at Yale. Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House consists of a series of binary options, true or false, that have predicted every US presidential election outcome since 1860.

When five or fewer of these options are false, the incumbent party remains in power. If six or more are false, the incumbent party loses the election. Polling data are not relevant to the 13 Keys. My book goes in to detail explaining the application of these keys to the election of 2008.