Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Egon von Greyerz - There Will Be a Time Without Money

The Market Crooners Are F.O.S. - The Market Ticker

From:

The Market-Ticker.org

https://market-ticker.org/

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=231730

The Market Crooners Are F.O.S.

"The S&P 500 is trading at historic highs on a cyclically-adjusted P/E basis, and well into "overvalued" territory even on simple trailing earnings. In fact on a CAPE basis the S&P is trading at a higher multiple than either 2000 or 2007!

In other words the entire market is priced for perfection -- higher earnings in the future, a softer currency and no increase in operating -- that means borrowing, given the last few years of history -- costs.

None of those things are likely to be true.

It is an effective impossibility that all of them will be true.

How overvalued is the market?  That depends on where you look in the market but 25% overvalued is in fact quite conservative."

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